party poker

Sunday, January 08, 2006

Pitt vs. Cinci over 23 first half

Alright, the line for the game is too fishy. Cinci who is ranked higher than Pitt is an underdog at home? WTF? Doesn't make sense. All signs point to betting on Pitt because of the fishiness, but when I look at the public wagers, it seems like the majority is betting on Pitt, which I don't like. So, I think the smart bet would be Cinci +3.

The over/under is pretty high at 46.5. It opened at 44. That's a 2.5 move to the upside. The over looks good, but the public is betting on the over.

So, here's what I've decided to do. I'm taking over 23 for the first half for a bill.

I'm going to throw some in at half time too.

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